Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 42.734002 50.364382 58.715470 68.501296 79.619856 91.825164 106.201202
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 31.153690 41.234605 53.328847 68.764651 87.785073 110.291320 138.756140
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 24.784384 35.939758 50.307069 69.857839 95.418202 127.319888 169.712634
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 18.450826 29.158800 43.888146 65.129521 94.394689 132.650100 185.673737
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 15.796724 26.806645 42.787160 66.927524 101.582589 148.529285 215.716885
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.111260 23.865038 40.310436 66.278174 105.023703 159.274294 239.222290
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 12.103467 23.333368 41.248868 70.554684 115.627673 180.377029 277.968546
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.637027 19.940970 37.247860 66.781789 113.863932 183.556356 291.369254
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.716834 19.074365 37.185074 69.113113 121.416225 200.597787 325.486257
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.303735 19.063025 38.529712 73.798082 132.893353 224.028771 370.064965
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.552561 18.268597 38.384863 75.907211 140.297934 241.544819 406.480109
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.704689 17.130235 37.463576 76.539612 145.239519 255.390192 437.809826
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.502501 15.135092 34.902322 74.407519 146.076884 263.905063 463.180211
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.710555 13.897921 33.672209 74.645679 151.135402 279.763199 501.428300
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.123665 13.004202 32.991504 75.812033 157.864577 298.697164 545.524075
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.152596 10.886252 29.367620 70.745547 152.778144 297.339863 556.233799
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.824212 10.388797 29.225182 72.672375 160.785899 318.795537 605.813087
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.384496 9.451463 27.912532 71.976546 163.679732 331.394968 640.924438
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.285260 9.515987 29.004388 76.557783 177.168914 363.486547 710.813644
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.786747 8.156459 26.338855 72.516211 173.153278 363.710415 725.309931
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.638633 7.930520 26.548205 75.013842 182.567816 388.988189 784.909828
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.598042 8.081791 27.787743 80.030251 197.514548 425.222487 865.387713
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.459602 7.826253 27.870147 82.287441 206.784801 451.165502 928.307556